2013 Telluride Bluegrass Weather Prediction

[TellurideTom]

Each year I offer up what has in the past been a somewhat accurate prediction of the weather
for the Telluride Bluegrass Festival. This is not a forecast as it's too hard to determine that far
in advance what the weather will be, so it is only a prediction. 
Thumbs Up


TBF 2013 Weather Prediction

For the week before the festival (June 8 - June 15)
Warm and clear - Chance of rain 30-50%
Winds 5-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph
High temperatures in the 60's and 70's Farenheit
Low temperatures in the 30's and 40's Farenheit

For the week of the festival (June 16 - June 23)
Warmer with more clouds - Chance of rain 50-70%
Winds 10-20 mph occasional gusts of 40 mph
High temperatures in the upper 60's to low 80's Farenheit
Low temperatures in the low 40's to mid 50's Farenheit

Bring your rain coat. It will be wetter than last year, but I don't think it will snow as much.
Be sure your tent doesn't leak on your bedding or dry clothing.

[Debbiefromtucson]

I was thinking it was around time for this.... and ACK, the wet year scares me...

[Mandhoe]

Hey, isn't that the same prediction you made last year, and the year before that?   

 Listening to: Linda Ronstadt covering Hells Bells

[Hooch]

Hey, isn't that the same prediction you made last year, and the year before that?   

But yet he is always (at least partially) right!

Actually some rain is a plus because it keeps the dust down from the walking paths.

[Skubes]

Just as long as it isn't so blazing HOT as last year!!!  

Staying up 'til 3:00 AM (or 4, or 5...) followed by 80+degrees in the tent at 7:00 made for zero sleep last year.  Not that I'm planning on sleeping this year either, but it's nice to have the option anyway. 

[Zoeonelove]

The only rain I remember in the entire 10.5 days was right when Vince played Rainmaker around 3 am one night/morning... Was anyone else there? It started sprinkling just a little bit while they all played, and when the song was over, the rain stopped.... 

However, Tom, I hope your rain prediction has a bit of reverse psychology...I really understand the mountains need the rain - especially the San Juans - but it would be nice for it to hold off for that week! I would take some overnight snow though - it's easier to shake off your tent in the morning!! 

 Listening to: LOS in Athens, GA http://www.livesalmon.com/

[Hot Sugar]

Rain sounds good to me. Better than the smoke I'm afraid we might get.

[AustinAmber]

Just as long as it isn't so blazing HOT as last year!!!  

Staying up 'til 3:00 AM (or 4, or 5...) followed by 80+degrees in the tent at 7:00 made for zero sleep last year.  Not that I'm planning on sleeping this year either, but it's nice to have the option anyway. 

I'm looking forward to it being 80 degrees!!  Relief from the 100+ degrees it will be here in Austin 

[Debbiefromtucson]

I was there Zoe and it was incredibly magical....

Ok- A little rain is ok... about 10-15 minutes a day..LOL  Even a ;title squall of grapple or whatever that is. But please no 10 days straight of 50 degrees and colder of rain or snow .. I'm still traumatized by 1995 and that pack out 2 years ago... i don't remember it being that hot last year.. It was dry and warm but I don't remember it being 80 in the mornings?  I remember thinking the air temps were the best ever- you could actually enjoy the night jams and not feel ilke you were gonna die...

PS Tom- what is the most amount of snow it has snowed during festival?   

[The Goat]

100% chance of Maybe.

 Listening to: Mountain Tracks Volume 1

[Skubes]

Out spot had no shade last year, so as soon as the sun came up the tent temperature soared.  Only 60s outside in the AM but a lot hotter in the tent.   

And here's to no smoke and no fires!    

[jlarsp]

A little rain isn't bad. At least it brings clouds and a break from cooking in the sun! The perfect weather would be one sunny day followed by a cloudy day, with a couple ten minute downpours to keep down the dust and cool us off.
It's four days of paradise in the end, so the weather doesn't matter all that much. Perfect weather is just an added bonus.

[landshark]

Lush, green, the rivers will be full and the fishing not so good unless we get a super hot spell before fest to slow the flow. Gonna be beautiful come rain or shine and I think the elements are just another dimension of this Music Adventure....im getting excited and i guess i better hussle but somewhere in me i know things will work out always doo. Get ready for a sensory overload. Gonna be fun!

I need a lawn chair and some good music to set me free.

IS IT TIME YET!

[armmon]

 who can the weather command ?
 
 rain or shine, we'll be having fun on the field eight weeks from now
 

[ebb01]

In memory of George Carlin:

"Dark at night, with a chance of widely scattered light towards morning."